No Guts No Glory: Ariana Grande will win Best Supporting Actress

I know, I know. Everyone and their mother is predicting Saldaña to win. But here’s my case for a Grande victory:

  • Saldana has only won one (1) televised award. One major precursor, which she was predicted to win. This one precursor has been the only award show throughout this month, and with the delays I feel like the feeling of a Zoe sweep grew. We’re still yet to see how the other precursor go.

  • Grande will most likely win SAG. Saldana will most likely win BAFTA. Grande is likely to do well in American-centered juries or voting committees, as seen at the Actors Guild.

  • During critics season, Ariana took the lead, then Zoe and ultimately it went to Margaret Qualley. Doesn’t tells us much other than they’re both very close in acclaim.

  • Controversy. This one is just my opinion, anyone has the right to say whether it’s a factor or not. EP is a divisive movie. The most divisive of the season. It’s also an international film. Things that shouldn’t matter to voters, but sometimes they do.

Overall, I’m not an Ariana Grande stan. I don’t listen to her music. But in a season as chaotic as this one and at this stage, there are zero locks for a win. I think Grande will win, and it’ll start showing the moment she starts winning other precursors. The critics and public loved her, literally a double threat. Zoe is a Hollywood legend, but Ariana and Wicked are pretty… popular.