As a thought experiment - what if joe biden lost and this last election was after Trump's second term?

Obviously there's a lot of things we can never know in here, like how international affairs would have played out and if institutions may have been threatened.

But we can reasonably assume that inflation would have been the same, if not worsened, by the lack of Biden's policies. We can reasonably assume the immediate rollout of massive purchases and distributions of Covid vaccines would have been stifled.

What would the election have looked like if Trump was running after 8 years of Covid mismanagement, international chaos, and high inflation?

Would we be looking at a 1.5% national vote win with a minor majority in Congress, or a complete blowout in both branches of government?